Western European OTT TV episode and movie revenues will reach $23.02 billion in 2023; more than double the $9.84 billion recorded in 2017.
Revenues for 18 countries are expected to climb by $2.63 billion in 2018 alone.
Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: “The UK is the largest OTT revenue earner in the region by some distance. Its $2.98 billion generated 30% of the 2017 total. The UK’s $6.80 billion in 2023 will represent a similar proportion.”
SVOD became the region’s largest OTT revenue source in 2016 by overtaking AVOD. SVOD’s share of the total will reach 54% by 2023, up from 45% in 2017.
SVOD revenues will almost triple by reaching $12.47 billion in 2023 – up from $4.44 billion in 2017. The UK will remain the SVOD revenue leader by some distance – generating as much as second-placed Germany and third-placed France combined by 2023.
The Western Europe OTT TV & Video Forecasts report estimates 98.85 million SVOD subscribers by 2023, up from 50.34 million at end-2017. Nearly 15 million subscribers will be added in 2018 alone, with 11 million more expected in 2019.
By 2023, 69.3% of Western European TV households will subscribe to an SVOD platform; up from 38.4% at end-2017. [Gross subscriptions. If a household takes two subscriptions then it is counted as two subscribers]. Norway will have the highest proportion at 104.8% by 2023. Germany, Italy, France and Spain will all fall below the regional average by 2023.
Netflix will remain the largest SVOD platform by some distance, with 49.75 million paying subscribers in 2023 – or half of the region’s total. This is the same as the 2017 proportion. The 2023 total includes 22 million Amazon Prime Video subscribers.
