Sub-Saharan Africa OTT TV and video will still be a very immature sector by 2022, with movie and TV episode revenues reaching $640 million for 35 countries.
Pay-TV revenues for 138 countries increased by $32 billion between 2010 and 2016 to reach $202 billion.
Based on 138 countries, Digital TV Research estimated 254 million additional pay-TV subscribers (up by 35%) between 2010 and 2016 to take the global total to 969 million.
Digital TV Research forecasts that Netflix will have 128 million subscribers by 2022, up by 44% from 89 million at end-2016. The Netflix Forecasts report estimates that the number of international subscribers will exceed US ones by early 2018.
Despite adding 120 million subs between 2016 and 2022, subscription and PPV revenues for 522 operators will remain flat at around $185 billion. From this total, the Global Pay TV Operator Forecasts report estimates 30 pay-TV operators earned more than $1 billion in 2016.
Digital TV Research forecasts 134 million additional pay-TV subscribers between 2016 and 2022 to take the total 1.09 billion. Based on forecasts for 138 countries, the number of pay-TV subscribers will pass the 1 billion mark in early 2018.
Global pay TV revenues will peak in 2017 at $202 billion. However, no rapid decline will take place after 2017 as revenues will still be as high as $200 billion in 2022.
Mexico overtook Brazil in 2016 to become Latin America’s largest pay-TV market, despite Brazil having twice as many TV households.
Unlike most of the rest of the world, the Asia Pacific pay-TV sector is vibrant, with subscribers and revenues forecast to rise over the next five years.
Pay TV revenues for the 20 countries in the Middle East and North Africa covered in the new edition of the Middle East and North Africa Pay TV Forecasts report will reach $4 billion in 2021 – down from $5 billion forecast in the last edition.