Global Internet video traffic is expected to surpass that of peer-to-peer by the end of 2010, according to forecasts from Cisco’s annual Visual Networking Index. It will be the first time in ten years that peer-to-peer will not be the largest internet traffic type.
The amount of traffic given over to 3DTV and HDTV traffic is projected to have increased 13 times between 2010 and 2014. However, despite the current hype surrounding the 3D format it is only predicted to have taken 4% of total internet video traffic, compared to the 42% combined total of consumer internet video for 3D and HD video.
It is anticipated that improvements in network bandwidth capacity and internet speeds, together with increasing popularity for HDTV and 3DTV will help quadruple IP traffic from 2009 to 2014. The fastest growing regions are expected to be Latin America (51% compound annual growth rate [CAGR], 7.9-fold growth), the Middle East and Africa (45% CAGR, 6.5-fold growth), and Central Europe (38% CAGR, 5.1-fold growth).
The Cisco analysis and modelling comes from a number of data sources including device data from independent analysts. Service providers worldwide then validate the data.